Menu
Forums
All threads
Latest threads
New posts
Trending threads
New posts
Search forums
Trending
What's new
New posts
New profile posts
Latest activity
Members
Current visitors
New profile posts
Search profile posts
Upgrades
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
All threads
Latest threads
New posts
Trending threads
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Navigation
Install the app
Install
More options
Contact us
Close Menu
Forums
Community
Technology
Cryptocurrency and Why I Worry That It Could Hurt the Economy
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Mikee" data-source="post: 426388" data-attributes="member: 76567"><p>With all of this hype surrounding cryptocurrency is begs to put into question as to what a world would look like if cryptocurrency really does replace fiat money. Although the growth of crypto is booming in its markets, it still seems like a far stretch to say that it’ll replace fiat anytime soon. Nevertheless, I believe that it’s important that we examine the potential effects of crypto on our economic world.</p><p></p><p></p><p> Most (if not all) cryptocurrencies work by having a set capital limit on the circulation of the coin. Whether that be Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple, or Doge coin, there is a set limit. In relation, this is how all standard since governing bodies like the federal reserve work, as they also put (mostly try) a limit on how much fiat money should circulate. That’s all fine and dandy, but I think an important point we’re missing is that even though the fed puts a limit on the amount of fiat produced, the amount of capital that the economy has grows naturally everyday !</p><p></p><p></p><p> This process is known as Fractional Reserve Banking, and it is the backbone of well, just about any economy that we have today. How fractional banking works is actually quite simple. Lets say Bob walks into his local bank with $1000 in his pocket to deposit into his account. The bank now has a $1000 liability in their book (of Bob’s cash). Lets also assume that monetary policy has stated that all banks must have a 10% reserve requirement. Accordingly, the bank must have at all times 10% of Bob’s money at their disposal ($100). The other $900 can be used to do as they wish, which they usually loan with, for the obvious reason so they can earn interest on that Loan.</p><p></p><p> They then loan the $900 to Lisa. Now lets stop for a moment and reflect. The economy at this point has grown by $900. But how you ask, well Bob has $1000 and Lisa now has $900 ! So our simplified economy is worth $1900 !</p><p></p><p></p><p> Lets take this one step further, Lisa then depoists her $900 in her bank, which also has a 10% reserve requirement. The bank as a result must hold at all times $90, and can lend out $810, which it does to Joe. Reflection: At this point the economy is now worth $1000 + $900 + $810 = $2710</p><p></p><p></p><p> In summary, the multiplier affect states that the economy will be worth $1000 * (1/0.1)</p><p></p><p>$10’000 as a result of fractional reserve banking. Crazy huh, Bob’s simple $1000 grew the economy by $9000.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Now lets take a moment and relate back to crypto. If one of crypto’s objectives is to stop the usage of banks then we will inadvertently (in theory) hurt the economy. The result of this unidentified growth will hurt the economy. With less capital in the economy the potential output curve <img src="https://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/PublishingImages/US%20Actual%20and%20Potential%20Output.png" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> </p><p>which has grown every single year, could possibly be negatively impacted.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Why? Because the potential output curve (GDP in other words (well kinda, but that’s a higher level topic)) only grows as a result of a growth in Capital (which wont occur in a crypto-dominated world – since fractional reserve banking won’t exist) and productivity (and productivity grows because of investment, and labour – which all needs capital).</p><p></p><p></p><p> So in sum, the result might be well, a stagnated economy.</p><p></p><p></p><p>These are just my thoughts, feel free to berate me, or disagree !</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mikee, post: 426388, member: 76567"] With all of this hype surrounding cryptocurrency is begs to put into question as to what a world would look like if cryptocurrency really does replace fiat money. Although the growth of crypto is booming in its markets, it still seems like a far stretch to say that it’ll replace fiat anytime soon. Nevertheless, I believe that it’s important that we examine the potential effects of crypto on our economic world. Most (if not all) cryptocurrencies work by having a set capital limit on the circulation of the coin. Whether that be Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple, or Doge coin, there is a set limit. In relation, this is how all standard since governing bodies like the federal reserve work, as they also put (mostly try) a limit on how much fiat money should circulate. That’s all fine and dandy, but I think an important point we’re missing is that even though the fed puts a limit on the amount of fiat produced, the amount of capital that the economy has grows naturally everyday ! This process is known as Fractional Reserve Banking, and it is the backbone of well, just about any economy that we have today. How fractional banking works is actually quite simple. Lets say Bob walks into his local bank with $1000 in his pocket to deposit into his account. The bank now has a $1000 liability in their book (of Bob’s cash). Lets also assume that monetary policy has stated that all banks must have a 10% reserve requirement. Accordingly, the bank must have at all times 10% of Bob’s money at their disposal ($100). The other $900 can be used to do as they wish, which they usually loan with, for the obvious reason so they can earn interest on that Loan. They then loan the $900 to Lisa. Now lets stop for a moment and reflect. The economy at this point has grown by $900. But how you ask, well Bob has $1000 and Lisa now has $900 ! So our simplified economy is worth $1900 ! Lets take this one step further, Lisa then depoists her $900 in her bank, which also has a 10% reserve requirement. The bank as a result must hold at all times $90, and can lend out $810, which it does to Joe. Reflection: At this point the economy is now worth $1000 + $900 + $810 = $2710 In summary, the multiplier affect states that the economy will be worth $1000 * (1/0.1) $10’000 as a result of fractional reserve banking. Crazy huh, Bob’s simple $1000 grew the economy by $9000. Now lets take a moment and relate back to crypto. If one of crypto’s objectives is to stop the usage of banks then we will inadvertently (in theory) hurt the economy. The result of this unidentified growth will hurt the economy. With less capital in the economy the potential output curve [IMG]https://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/PublishingImages/US%20Actual%20and%20Potential%20Output.png[/IMG] which has grown every single year, could possibly be negatively impacted. Why? Because the potential output curve (GDP in other words (well kinda, but that’s a higher level topic)) only grows as a result of a growth in Capital (which wont occur in a crypto-dominated world – since fractional reserve banking won’t exist) and productivity (and productivity grows because of investment, and labour – which all needs capital). So in sum, the result might be well, a stagnated economy. These are just my thoughts, feel free to berate me, or disagree ! [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Forums
Community
Technology
Cryptocurrency and Why I Worry That It Could Hurt the Economy
Top